Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.000914 0.001052 0.001192 0.001343 0.001503 0.001665 0.001842
2025-07-06 0.000777 0.000980 0.001193 0.001432 0.001689 0.001956 0.002252
2025-07-13 0.000592 0.000833 0.001098 0.001403 0.001739 0.002095 0.002496
2025-07-20 0.000425 0.000687 0.000987 0.001344 0.001748 0.002183 0.002681
2025-07-27 0.000341 0.000626 0.000966 0.001380 0.001857 0.002376 0.002977
2025-08-03 0.000249 0.000540 0.000906 0.001366 0.001904 0.002498 0.003192
2025-08-10 0.000148 0.000425 0.000800 0.001287 0.001871 0.002527 0.003299
2025-08-17 0.000088 0.000352 0.000737 0.001255 0.001889 0.002607 0.003461
2025-08-24 0.000033 0.000262 0.000641 0.001176 0.001843 0.002612 0.003535
2025-08-31 0.000010 0.000215 0.000600 0.001160 0.001873 0.002701 0.003701
2025-09-07 0.000001 0.000188 0.000583 0.001175 0.001938 0.002829 0.003912
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000143 0.000533 0.001142 0.001939 0.002882 0.004033
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000107 0.000501 0.001147 0.002010 0.003041 0.004307
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000102 0.000526 0.001235 0.002188 0.003331 0.004737
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000063 0.000474 0.001210 0.002223 0.003450 0.004971
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000027 0.000408 0.001157 0.002218 0.003520 0.005147
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000017 0.000400 0.001192 0.002328 0.003729 0.005485
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000004 0.000364 0.001180 0.002372 0.003857 0.005728
2025-11-02 NaN NaN 0.000296 0.001107 0.002332 0.003879 0.005842
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.000257 0.001077 0.002348 0.003968 0.006036
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.000198 0.001003 0.002298 0.003972 0.006124
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.000174 0.000989 0.002331 0.004079 0.006337
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.000164 0.001003 0.002403 0.004236 0.006608